4th Workshop on New Developmentalism:

 

4th Workshop on New Developmentalism:

Theory and Policy for Developing Countries

 

 

Hosted by the Centre for Studies on New Developmentalism of the Sao Paulo School of Business Administration – Getulio Vargas Foundation – São Paulo, Brazil

 

Itapeva St., 432, 4th floor

 

July 25 and 26th, 2019

 

Register for free: http://www.fgv.br/eventos/?P_EVENTO=4604&P_IDIOMA=0

 

The Centre for Studies on New Developmentalism of the Sao Paulo School of Business Administration at Getulio Vargas Foundation is pleased to invite interested candidates for participating in the 4th Workshop on New Developmentalism – Theory and Policies for Developing Countries –, which will be held in São Paulo, Brazil, on July 25 and 26th, 2019.

 

The program will include, in the first day, a mini-course on new developmentalism in which this theory will be compared with classical developmentalism (development economics) as well as with post-Keynesian macroeconomics – the two school of thoughts from which new developmentalism originates. In the second day, panelists will present the selected papers for the Workshop. 

 

 

Lecturers and keynote speaker

Lecturers:

Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira: Emeritus Professor at FGV. Former Finance Minister of Brazil; former Minister of Federal Administration and State Reform; former Minister of Science and Technology; Emeritus Researcher of National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPQ).

Nelson Marconi: Professor at EAESP-FGV; Former President of Brazilian Keynesian Association; Coordinator of Economics Forum at Getulio Vargas Foundation.

Jose Luis Oreiro: Professor at UnB (University of Brasilia); Former President of Brazilian Keynesian Association.

 

Keynote Speaker:

Robert Guttmann: Augustus B. Weller Chair in Economics at Hofstra University, USA, he is also affiliated with the Centre d’Économie Paris Nord (CEPN) of the Université Paris XIII in France. He studied in Vienna and at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, USA, before obtaining his PhD at the University of Greenwich, UK. He won the “Distinguished Teacher of the Year” award at Hofstra in 1989, 2004, and 2012. Professor Guttmann teaches international economics, monetary economics, financial regulation, and economic integration in the European Union. An expert in money and banking, international finance, and monetary theory, he has published numerous books and journal articles, including his best-selling books “How Credit-Money Shapes the Economy, Cybercash, Finance-Led Capitalism” and “Eco-Capitalism: Carbon money, climate finance and sustainable development”.

 

 Schedule

 

*Preliminary version

July 25th - lectures will be held in the Noble Hall (4thfloor)

Lectures

09:00 – 10:00 

Developmental Macroeconomics I - The determination of the exchange rate (Professor Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira)

 

10:00 – 10:30

Coffee break

 

10:30 – 11:30

Developmental Macroeconomics II – The Principles of New Developmentalism (Professor Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira)

 

11:30 – 13:00

The methodology of industrial equilibrium index and profit rate comparisons (Professor Nelson Marconi)

 

13:00 - 14:30

Lunch 

 

14:30 – 16:30

The debate about the sraffian supermultiplier model and the future of heterodox growth models (Professor José Luis Oreiro)

 

16:30 – 17:00

Coffee break

 

17:00 – 18:30

Keynote Speaker: Robert Guttmann 

The overlaps and tensions between New Developmentalism and post Keynesian theory

 

July 26th

 

09:00 – 10:00  at the Noble Hall (4th floor)

Keynote Speaker: Robert Guttmann

Multi polar Capitalism: the end of the Dollar Standard

 
 

10:00 – 10:30

Coffee break

 

10:30 – 13:00

Session 1a – Extensions of New Developmentalism - Room 702

Paper

Authors

The Iconomics of New Developmentalism

Gilson Schwartz (USP) and João Paulo Lima e Silva Filho (USP)

Pragmatism as a Pillar of the New Developmentalism

João Luís Paiva da Silva (CEsA-ISEG)

Welfare State typology in the New Developmentalism: literature, experience, and considerations

Leandro Teodoro Ferreira (UFABC)

 

Targeting economic development: Schumpeterian possibilities of new developmental states in fostering local and global development

Mario Gomes Schapiro (EDESP-FGV) and Patrícia Alencar Silva Mello (EAESP-FGV)

 

Session 1b – The Role of the Exchange Rate - Room 703

Paper

Authors

Commodity speculation and exchange rate swings in Latin America: A Stock Flow Consistent (SFC) analysis

Lorenzo Nalin (UNAM/ CEPAL) and Giuliano Toshiro Yajima (Sapienza/ CEPAL)

On some limits of the exchange rate as a policy tool to promote industrial

Ariel  Dvoskin (CONICET-IDAES/UNSAM), German D. Feldman (CONICET-IDAES/UNSAM) and Guido Ianni (Roma Tre University)

On the incorporation of new technologies in a scenario of uncertainties: From the Old to the New Developmentalism

Bruno Farina (UFRJ)

Should emerging countries intervene in foreign exchange rate markets? A critical review of the literature in light of 21st century developments

João Pedro Scalco Macalos (CEPN)

 

Session 1c – Structural Change and New Developmental Macroeconomics - Room 706

Paper

Authors

Economic Development and Stagnation in Brazil (1950-2011): Has labor productivity behavior been Growth-Enhancing or Growth-Reducing?

André Nassif (UFF), Luciene Morandi (UFF), Eliane Araújo (UEM) and Carmen Feijó (UFF)

Epistemic communities, coalitions and institutional change after the conservative shift in Argentina and Brazil

Renato Boschi (IESP-UERJ/ INCT-PPED) and Flávio Gaitán (UNILA / INCT-PPED)

The impossible quartet in a demand led growth-supermultiplier model for a small open economy

Julio Fernando Costa Santos (UFU)  e  José Oreiro (UNB)

 

 

13:00 – 14:30

Lunch

 

14:30 – 17:00

Session 2a – The Political Economy of New Developmentalism - Room 702

Paper

Authors

"Developmentalist Brazil" (1946-1964) as a concept: historicizing and (re)periodizing development in Brazil

Alexandre de Freitas Barbosa (IEB-USP)

The developmental state in the 19th American History

Gustavo Andrey de Almeida Lopes Fernandes (EAESP-FGV)

Coalition for development: A new developmntalist interpretation for the abandonment of industrial capitalists from PT's political coalition

Tiago Couto Porto (CND-FGV)

The process of catching-up in East Asia and China: a New Developmental Analysis

Luiz Carlos Bresser Pereira (FGV-SP), Elias Jabbour (FCE-UERJ) and Luiz Fernando de Paula (IE-UERJ)

Recessions in 1974-1975, 1980-1982 and 2008-2009 and a changing theoretical basis of the recoveries; A view from the state-corporation hegemonic stability theory.

Dariusz Staszczak (John Paul II Catholic University of Lublin)

Session 2b - The Role of the Exchange Rate - Room 703

Paper

Authors

Expectations and exchange rate in a Keynes-Harvey model: an analysis of the Brazilian case over 2002-2017 using ARDL

Leandro Vieira Araújo Lima (UFRGS) and Fábio Henriques Bittes Terra (UFABC)

Carry trade, exchange rate and the balance of payment constraint

Nelson Barbosa (EESP-FGV/ UNB)

Determinants of real exchange rate movements in 15 emerging markets

Thomas Goda (EAFIT)  and Jan Priewe (IMK)

Profit Margin, Exchange Rate and Structural Change: Empirical Evidences between 1996-2016

João Guilherme (EAESP-FGV), Rafael Leão (EAESP-FGV), Guilherme Magacho (UFABC) and Nelson Marconi (EAESP-FGV)

 

Session 2c - Financialization - Room 706

Paper

Authors

Contradictions in Mexico's liberal reforms: will state banks once again take up their leading role in development policy?

Edney C. Dias (EAESP-FGV) and Kurt E. von Mettenheim (EAESP-FGV)

Finance-driven business cycles in emerging markets? An empirical assessment of Minskyan endogenous cycle approaches

Karsten Kohler (KUL)

Developmentalist policies in financialized economies: contradictions and impasses of the Brazilian case

Miguel Bruno (ENCE-IBGE, FCE-UERJ e FCE-Mackenzie Rio) and Leda Paulani (FEA-USP)

Social and Political Aspects of Financialization Processes: Analysis of the relations among financial markets, industrial entrepreneurs and the Brazilian state

Pedro Brancher (IESP-UERJ)

 

4th NEW DEVELOPMENTALISM’S WORKSHOP BOARD

Luiz Carlos Bresser Pereira (FGV)

Nelson Marconi (FGV)

Sonia Reis (FGV)

 

References on New Developmentalism

 

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2007) Macroeconomia da Estagnação. São Paulo: Editora 34.

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2009) Developing Brazil: Overcoming the Failure of the Washington Consensus, Boulder: Lynne Rienner Publishers.

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2009) Globalização e Competição. Rio de Janeiro: Elsevier-Campus.

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2009) Mondialisation et Compétition: La Découverte.

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2010) Globalization and Competition. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2011) “From old to new developmentalism in Latin America”, in José Antonio Ocampo and Jaime Ross, eds. (2011) The Oxford Handbook of Latin American Economics, Oxford: Oxford University Press: 108-129. 

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2013) “The value of the exchange rate and the Dutch disease”, Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 33(3) July 2013: 371-387.

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2014) A Construção Política do Brasil. São Paulo: Editora 34.

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2015) “Reflecting on new developmentalism and classical developmentalism”, Working Paper EESP/FGV 395, June 2015. Available at www.bresserpereira.org.br.

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2015) “State-society cycles and political pacts in a national-dependent society: Brazil”Latin American Research Review 80 (2), 2015: 3-22. 403b

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos e Marcus Ianoni (2015) “Developmental class coalitions: historical experiences and prospects”. Texto para Discussão EESP/Fundação Getúlio Vargas n.386, março 2015.

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos e Paulo Gala (2007) “Why foreign savings fail to cause growth”, Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 27 (1): 3-19. In Portuguese, in the printed edition; in English, in the journal’s website: www.rep.org.br.

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos, André Nassif e Carmem Feijó (2016) “A reconstrução da indústria brasileira: a conexão entre o regime macroeconômico e a política industrial”,  Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 36 (3): 493-513.

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos, José Luis Oreiro and Nelson Marconi (2015) Developmental Macroeconomics. London: Routledge.

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos, José Luis Oreiro e Nelson Marconi (2015 [2016]) Macroeconomia Desenvolvimentista. Rio de Janeiro: Campus/Elsevier. Edição original em inglês, 2015.

Cepêda, Vera Alves (2012) “Inclusão, democracia e o novo-desenvolvimentismo: um balanço histórico”, Estudos Avançados 26 (75): 77-90.

Diniz, Eli (2011) “O contexto internacional e a retomada do debate sobre o desenvolvimento no Brasil contemporâneo”, Dados – Revista de Ciências Sociais 54 (4): 493-531.

Diniz, Eli e Renato Boschi (2013) “Uma nova estratégia de desenvolvimento?”, in Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos, org. O Que Esperar do Brasil?, Rio de Janeiro: Editora FGV: 27-60.

Gala, Paulo (2006) Política Cambial e Macroeconomia do Desenvolvimento [Exchange Rate Policy and Development Macroeconomics], São Paulo: Escola de Economia de São Paulo da Fundação Getúlio Vargas, Tese de doutorado, maio 2006.

Gala, Paulo, Eliane Araújo e Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira (2011) “Poupança doméstica e externa e a taxa de câmbio” em Marcio Holland e Yoshiaki Nakano, orgs., Taxa de Câmbio no Brasil. Rio de Janeiro, 2011: 77-102

Gonzalez, Lauro (2007) Crises Financeiras Recentes: Revisitando as Experiências da América Latina e da Ásia.  São Paulo: Escola de Economia de São Paulo da Fundação Getúlio Vargas, Tese de Doutorado, junho 2007.

Ianoni, Marcus (2014) “Teoria do Estado desenvolvimentista: uma revisão da literatura”, Sinais Sociais 9 (24): 81-106.

Marconi, Nelson. “O papel dos preços macroeconômicos na crise e na recuperação”. Estudos Avançados, v. 31, p. 97-109, 2017.

Marconi, Nelson; Brancher, Marco C. “A política econômica do novo desenvolvimentismo”. Revista de Economia Contemporânea, v. 21, p. 1-31, 2017.

Marconi, Nelson (2012) “The industrial equilibrium exchange rate in Brazil: an estimation”, Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 32 (4): 656-669.

Marconi, Nelson (2015) “Estrutura produtiva e desenvolvimento econômico”. In Barbosa, Nelson, Nelson Marconi, Mauricio Canedo e Laura Carvalho, Indústria e Desenvolvimento Produtivo no Brasil, Rio de Janeiro: Campus Elsevier: 31-70.

Marconi, Nelson e Marcos Rocha (2011) “Desindustrialização precoce e sobrevalorização da taxa de câmbio. Texto para Discussão 1681, IPEA, dezembro 2011.

Marconi, Nelson, Araújo, Eliane Cristina e Oreiro, Jose Luis (2015) “The exchange rate, income elasticities, and structural change: theoretical foundations and empirical evidence”, paper presented at 43º Encontro Nacional de Economia da Anpec, Florianópolis, Brasil.

Missio, Fabrício, Frederico G. Jayme Jr. e José Luís Oreiro (2015) “The structuralist tradition in economics: Methodological and macroeconomic aspects”. Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 35 (2): 247-266.

Missio, Fabrício, Frederico G. Jayme Jr. e José Luís Oreiro (2015) “Real exchange rate and economic growth: new empirical evidence”, Metroeconomica (doi: 10.1111/meca.12087).

Morais, Lecio e Alfredo Saad-Filho (2012) “Da economia política à política econômica: o novo-desenvolvimentismo e o governo Lula”, Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 31 (4): 500-527.

Nakano, Yoshiaki, Nelson Marconi e Paulo Gala (2010) “Efeitos da apreciação cambial sobre a poupança e a indústria”, in Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos, org. Crise Global e o Brasil, Rio de Janeiro: Editora FGV: 153-172.

Nassif, André, Carmen Feijó e Eliane Araújo (2012 [2015]) “Overvaluation trend of the Brazilian currency in the 2000s: Empirical estimation”, Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 35 (1) 2015: 3-37.

Oreiro, José Luís (2012) “Novo-desenvolvimentismo, crescimento econômico e regimes de política macroeconômica”, Estudos Avançados 26 (75): 29-40.

Oreiro, José Luís (2015) “Um arcabouço teórico para a Macroeconomia Estruturalista do Desenvolvimento: uma homenagem a Bresser-Pereira”. In Oreiro, José Luis, Luiz Fernando de Paula e Nelson Marconi, orgs. (2015): 149-180.

Oreiro, José Luis e Luiz Fernando de Paula (2012) “O novo-desenvolvimentismo e a agenda de reformas macroeconômicas para o crescimento sustentado com estabilidade de preços e equidade social”, em Oreiro, de Paula e Basílio, orgs.  Macroeconomia do Desenvolvimento: Ensaios sobre Restrição Externa, Financiamento e Política Macroeconômica, Recife: Editora Universitária da UFPE: 59-94.

Oreiro, José Luis, Flávio A. C. Basílio e Gustavo J. G. Souza (2014) “Effects of overvaluation and exchange rate volatility over industrial investment: empirical evidence and economic policy proposals for Brazil”, Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 34 (3): 347-369.

Oreiro, José Luis, Luiz Fernando de Paula e Nelson Marconi (2015). A teoria econômica na obra de Bresser-Pereira, Santa Maria: Editora da Universidade Federal de Santa Maria.

Paula, Luiz Fernando de (2015) “Macroeconomia do desenvolvimento de Bresser-Pereira: para além da ortodoxia convencional e do keynesianismo vulgar”. In Oreiro, José Luis, Luiz Fernando de Paula e Nelson Marconi, orgs. (2015) A Teoria Econômica na Obra de Bresser-Pereira.  Santa Maria, RS: Editora da UFSM: 125-148.

 

 

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