10th Economic Forum

Mon, 30/09/2013 - 08:30 - Tue, 01/10/2013 - 16:30
Áreas Relacionadas: 
A strategy to double the per capita income of Brazil in 15 years ?
When the return to Brazil to develop at an accelerated catching up and perform ? Document prepared by FIESP believes it is possible to double the per capita income in fifteen years. Is this too ambitious ? Why Brazil has been de-industrializing ? The culprits are lack of savings , or the lack of investment in infrastructure , technology or science , or education? Or are these " faults " that have always existed , but did not hamper its rapid development , and we must confront and solve new problems not yet solved that emerged after the stabilization of high inflation in 1994 ?
08:30 to 09:00 - Registration
9:00 to 9:30 - Opening
Coordinator of the Forum - Luiz Carlos Bresser - Pereira
President of IEDI - Pedro Luiz Barreiros Passos
Director DIEESE - Clemente Ganz Lúcio
Vice President of FIESP - Benjamin Steinbruch
Minister of Finance - Guido Mantega
09:30 to 10:15 - Lecture : Guido Mantega
10:30 a.m. to 13:00 - Panel 1 - What are the macroeconomic constraints to Brazil to double the per capita income in fifteen years?
Controlled high inertial inflation with the Real Plan , defined three major macroeconomic problems : fiscal imbalance , interest rate varying in high level, and the exchange rate floating sobreapreciado level . Regarding the first issue , there have been major advances since 1999 , compared to the second , since 2006 , in relation to the exchange rate , there was no breakthrough . What macroeconomic matrix that Brazil really need ?
Chair: Benjamin Steinbruch
Exhibitors : Antonio Delfim Netto , Marcio Holland , Fernando de Holanda Barbosa Filho , Luiz Fernando de Paula .
Discussants : Yoshiaki Nakano and Fernando Cardim de Carvalho .
14:30 to 16:30 - Panel 2 - What are the outlines of a plan to double the per capita income in 15 years ? The document "Strategy for Socioeconomic Full Potential for Brazil " indicates these lines .
FIESP prepared the document " " Socioeconomic Full Potential Strategy for Brazil ", in which ideas of how to double the per capita income of Brazil in 15 years . What are the central points of this strategy ? She serves as the basis for a national development strategy that gradually becomes consensual in Brazil ?
Chair: Pedro Luiz Barreiros Passos
Exhibitors : Paulo Francini , Clemente Ganz Lucio , Marcelo Miterhof
Discussants : Luiz Gonzaga Belluzzo , Mario Bernardini , Júlio Sérgio Gomes de Almeida
09:00 to 10:00 - Lecture : Mercadante
10:15 to 12:30 - Panel 3 - Is the Brazilian state equipped to formulate and carry out a plan to double the per capita income in 15 years ? What is your relationship with the PAC ?
The economic planning only makes sense for monopolistic sectors or quasi- monopolistic economy where the market is not capable of satisfactory coordination . And it only makes sense if the state is equipped in terms of human and institutional conduct this work. The Brazilian State has this ability ? Or is seeking to have it ? As this plan relate to the CAP ?
Chair: João Guilherme Sabino Ometto
Exhibitors : Fabiano Santos , Carlos Pacheco , Fernando Abrucio , Regina Pacheco
Panelists : José Celso Cardoso Junior , Francisco Eduardo Pires de Souza , Claudio Goncalves Couto
2:00 p.m. to 3:00 p.m. - Lecture : Robert Blecker
15:00 to 17:00 - 4th . Panel - What trade policy and exchange rate consistent with the goal of doubling the per capita income in Brazil in 15 years ?
The international integration of the countries is taking place increasingly through the integration of production chains . But for this to occur it is necessary , on the one hand , the tariffs are low, and on the other , that the exchange rate fluctuates around the industrial equilibrium , one that enables the competent companies . Now , the overvalued exchange rate that occurs in Brazil comes nullifying the tariffs and even making them negative . What to do about the problem ? Lead other countries to appreciate their currencies , or Brazil try to fix its exchange rate to be able to double its growth in 15 years ?
Chair: Antonio Maciel Neto
Exhibitors : Renato Baumann , José Luís Oreiro , Eliane Araujo , Pedro Rossi
Discussants : Robert Blecker , Nelson Barbosa , José Viegas , Luiz Aubert Neto
17:00 to 17:30 - Closing
Luiz Carlos Bresser - Pereira
Event Address
Fundação Getulio Vargas Avenue July 9, 2029 , 4. Floor ( Entrance on Street Itapeva , 432 )


Guido Mantega - "Novo ciclo de desenvolvimento (2013-2022)"3.51 MB
Antonio Delfim Neto - "Restrições Macroeconômicas para o Brasil dobrar a renda per capita em 15 anos"85.98 KB
Marcio Holland - "Uma estratégia para dobrar a renda per capita do Brasil em quinze anos"1.78 MB
Fernando de Holanda Barbosa - "O Brasil pode repetir o Milagre Econômico?"811.4 KB
Luiz Fernando de Paula - "Políticas macroeconômicas para um crescimento robusto e sustentável"952.71 KB
Paulo Francini - "Estratégia de Potencial Socioeconômico Pleno para o Brasil"5.04 MB
Mariano Francisco Laplane - "Uma estratégia para dobrar a renda per capita do Brasil em 15 anos? O papel da indústria e da política industrial"1.24 MB
Fabiano Santos - "Gerenciamento presidencial de políticas públicas em governos de coalizão: implicações para implementação do PAC"135.36 KB
Carlos Pacheco - "Inovação e Desenvolvimento"1.45 MB
Fernando Abrucio - "Condições estatais para o desenvolvimento: o papel do capital humano - formação e utilização pelo governo"51.27 KB
Robert Blecker (Palestra) - "Economic Stagnation in the United States: Domestic Couses and Global Consequences"815.19 KB
José Luis Oreiro - "Acumulação de Capital, Taxa Real de Câmbio e Catching-up_Teoria e evidência para o caso brasileiro"9.03 MB
Eliane Araujo - "Política Câmbial, Estrutura Produtiva e Crescimento Econômico: fundamentos teóricos e evidências empíricas para o Brasil"588.82 KB
Pedro Rossi - "Política câmbial no Brasil: um esquema analítico"692.62 KB
Robert Blecker (4º Painel) - "Qual a política comercial e cambial compatível com a meta de dobrar a renda per capita do Brasil em 15 anos?"330.52 KB
Fernando de Holanda Barbosa - "O Brasil pode repetir o Milagre Econômico?"320.99 KB
Clemente Ganz Lúcio - "Para dobrar é preciso distribuir"168.47 KB
Fabiano Santos - "Gerenciamento Presidencial de Políticas Públicas em Governos de Coalizão"305.85 KB
Marcelo Miterhof - "Dobrar a renda per capita: notas sobre o debate"150.07 KB
Regina Pacheco - "Capacidade Institucional do Estado brasileiro e o novo desenvolvimento: desafios atuais"143.5 KB
Renato Baumann - "Política Comercial Externa Brasileira - Algumas Considerações para a Indústria"180.94 KB
José Luis Oreiro - "Acumulação de Capital, Taxa Real de Câmbio e Catching up_Teoria e evidência para o caso brasilieiro"1.5 MB
Eliane Araujo - "Política Cambial, Estrutura Produtiva e o Crescimento Econômico: fundamentos teóricos e evidências empíricas para o Brasil"362.15 KB
Pedro Rossi - "Política Câmbial no Brasil: um Esquema Analítico"1.04 MB


Escolas FGV

Acompanhe na rede